Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals
Probability
45¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+6.5pp
24h Vol
$146.23
Liquidity
$10.8K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 13, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Up 7pp over 24h
Now 45¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $10.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability drops back below 40¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 13, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 204.1h
Price movement
+6.5pp over the last 24h, now 45¢.
Biggest hourly move: -13.5pp at 2d ago (to 37¢).
Show top 8 of 22 hourly moves
- 04:00 · +11.0pp → 49¢
- 03:00 · +10.5pp → 48¢
- 02:00 · +10.5pp → 48¢
- 22:00 · +10.0pp → 47¢
- 19:00 · +10.5pp → 47¢
- 18:00 · +10.5pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · -13.5pp → 37¢
- 2d ago · -13.5pp → 37¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for May 6 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.