SportsExpires May 7, 2026
Creator

Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds

Probability

52¢

1h

+11.0pp

24h

+11.5pp

24h Vol

$96.8K

Liquidity

$20.4K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 7, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 14:00Apr 30, 2026, 17:13
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 12pp over 24h

    Now 52¢; +11.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 4.7× turnover

    $96.8k traded against $20.4k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $20.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability drops back below 47¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 167.4h

    LOW

Price movement

+11.5pp over the last 24h, now 52¢.

Biggest hourly move: +18.0pp at 17:00 (to 59¢).

Show top 8 of 9 hourly moves
  • 17:00 · +18.0pp → 59¢
  • 2d ago · +8.0pp → 47¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 41¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 41¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 41¢
  • 3d ago · -11.5pp → 39¢
  • 4d ago · -11.0pp → 39¢
  • 4d ago · -11.0pp → 39¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for April 30 at 12:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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