Gracious-Fame
0xc7e53ac4a7c76d6df8b794de2e7d0794265d2d3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$81.3K
Total PnL
$-146.0K
Realised
$15.9K
Win rate
39%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
40073 shares @ 63.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$35.1K
$9.4K
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
9204 shares @ 59.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$8.1K
$2.6K
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
6000 shares @ 82.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.9K
$975.01
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
8337 shares @ 65.3¢·now 65.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.4K
$-21.01
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
4428 shares @ 79.4¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.3K
$-217.84
- YES
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
6504 shares @ 33.9¢·now 43.8¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$2.8K
$642.91
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
3917 shares @ 61.8¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$28.42
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
26278 shares @ 8.7¢·now 9.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.4K
$98.20
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
5514 shares @ 14.9¢·now 38.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.1K
$1.3K
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
99981 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.9K
$480.41
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$434.78Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$102.25Jun 13, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: United States (-1.5)$227.27Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels$107.49Jun 13, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$294.12Jun 13, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles$277.78Jun 13, 02:08 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.72Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$2.84Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$600.00Jun 12, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals$152.29Jun 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$152.20Jun 12, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox$152.43Jun 12, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles$152.07Jun 12, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$151.89Jun 12, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score$319.15Jun 12, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$911.23Jun 12, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: United States (-1.5)$51.17Jun 12, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$203.24Jun 12, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$386.60Jun 12, 21:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $559.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 15:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.