Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox
Probability
47¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
+3.5pp
24h Vol
$19.2K
Liquidity
$41.6K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 9, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Up 4pp over 24h
Now 47¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 3.5pp in 24h with 0.5× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Watch the next 6–24 hours: momentum signals historically extend on this kind of setup but pay spread on entry. Compare to /backtest for the rule's historical performance.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 9, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 178.0h
- 10:10SignalMEDIUM
Momentum up
Probability moved up 3.5pp in 24h with 0.5× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
Price movement
+3.5pp over the last 24h, now 47¢.
Biggest hourly move: -6.5pp at 1d ago (to 44¢).
Show top 8 of 17 hourly moves
- 14:00 · -4.5pp → 43¢
- 12:00 · -4.0pp → 43¢
- 1d ago · -6.5pp → 44¢
- 1d ago · -6.5pp → 44¢
- 1d ago · -4.5pp → 43¢
- 3d ago · -4.0pp → 47¢
- 3d ago · -4.0pp → 47¢
- 3d ago · -4.0pp → 47¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
10- 88¢+11.5
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Sports · Vol $1.2M
- 100¢+31.9
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
Sports · Vol $619.2K
- 3¢+1.4
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $601.6K
- 0¢-67.5
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $598.2K
- 30¢+1.0
76ers vs. Celtics
Sports · Vol $567.0K
- 0¢-10.9
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Sports · Vol $519.1K
Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for May 2 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.