San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Probability
49¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.0pp
24h Vol
$83.32
Liquidity
$32.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 49¢; flat in the last hour.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 195.7h
- 16:21PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 49¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 49¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 49¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 49¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 49¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 49¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 49¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 48¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 48¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 51¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 51¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 51¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 51¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 51¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 51¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 51¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for April 26 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.mlb.com/News consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).