Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Probability
47¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-11.0pp
24h Vol
$29.43
Liquidity
$2.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 11pp over 24h
Now 47¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $2.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 52¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 173.3h
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 56¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 56¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 53¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 55¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 59¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 53¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 58¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 58¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 58¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 59¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 56¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for April 25 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Seattle Mariners or St. Louis Cardinals. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.mlb.com/scoresNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).