Carefree-Path
0x53141ee3652c411e65f5822d0a7769d4db2a5db9
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$27.01
Total PnL
$-312.53
Realised
$46.18
Win rate
62%
60 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
SlingshotDAO FDV above $300M one day after launch?
14 shares @ 16.1¢·now 40.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.52
$3.30
- YES
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
16 shares @ 44.8¢·now 32.5¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$5.29
$-2.00
- YES
Will Club ABB win on 2026-05-14?
15 shares @ 3.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$3.71
$3.25
- YES
Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
222 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 10, 2028$2.55
$0.93
- YES
Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
11 shares @ 11.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$1.90
$0.71
- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
34 shares @ 1.6¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2028$1.87
$1.33
- YES
Will Erika Kirk be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
66 shares @ 4.7¢·now 2.6¢·exp Aug 14, 2028$1.72
$-1.38
- YES
Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
12 shares @ 6.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$1.46
$0.76
- YES
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
57 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.92
$-0.17
- YES
Will James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
30 shares @ 4.9¢·now 2.6¢·exp Aug 10, 2028$0.79
$-0.67
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Partido Popular (PP) win 59-61 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.15Jun 3, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$0.77Jun 1, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$1.56Jun 1, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Popular (PP) win 59-61 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$1.15May 27, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Kemp be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.13May 25, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Kemp be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.14May 25, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Kemp be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.86May 25, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Popular (PP) win 59-61 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.24May 25, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Popular (PP) win 59-61 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.24May 24, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLReppo FDV above $100M one day after launch?$3.15May 24, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lecce place 17th for the 2025-26 Serie A season?$6.62May 24, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$3.37May 24, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? $3.48May 23, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Popular (PP) win 59-61 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.21May 23, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rennes qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?$0.10May 22, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rennes qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?$0.10May 22, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rennes qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?$0.10May 22, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rennes qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?$0.10May 22, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Popular (PP) win 59-61 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.03May 22, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Popular (PP) win 59-61 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.06May 22, 21:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 04:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 60 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.