Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
Probability
39¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$20.4K
Liquidity
$129.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 39¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $20.4k traded against $129.9k of visible liquidity (0.16× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 03Active signal
Divergence signal firing
Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +1.0pp vs. 24h -1.0pp.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Watch the 1h vs 24h trend on the chart above — divergence resolves either by 1h reverting to the 24h direction or by the 24h trend flipping.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 177.4h
- 13:43SignalMEDIUM
Short-term vs. trend divergence
Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +1.0pp vs. 24h -1.0pp.
Price movement
-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 39¢.
Biggest hourly move: -17.0pp at 3d ago (to 33¢).
Show top 8 of 37 hourly moves
- 12:00 · +17.0pp → 50¢
- 3d ago · -17.0pp → 33¢
- 3d ago · -15.0pp → 35¢
- 3d ago · -15.0pp → 35¢
- 3d ago · -16.0pp → 36¢
- 3d ago · -15.5pp → 36¢
- 3d ago · -16.0pp → 36¢
- 4d ago · -16.0pp → 36¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and New York Mets, scheduled for April 28 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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