Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Natus Vincere vs Dewa United Esports - Game 1 Winner
Probability
38¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-15.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$966.02
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Down 15pp over 24h
Now 38¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 20h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 13.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 04Resolution proximity
Expiry in 20h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 20 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 14:15ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 20.3h
- 17:57SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 20h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
-15.0pp over the last 24h, now 38¢.
Biggest hourly move: -14.5pp at 05:00 (to 38¢).
Show top 8 of 9 hourly moves
- 16:00 · -4.0pp → 37¢
- 12:00 · +4.5pp → 37¢
- 09:00 · -14.5pp → 37¢
- 07:00 · -14.0pp → 38¢
- 06:00 · -14.0pp → 38¢
- 05:00 · -14.5pp → 38¢
- 03:00 · -13.5pp → 37¢
- 02:00 · -12.5pp → 38¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang match between Natus Vincere and Dewa United Esports in the MPL Indonesia Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 1 at 4:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against Dewa United Esports. This market will resolve to "Dewa United Esports" if Dewa United Esports win Game 1 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.