Games Total: O/U 2.5
Probability
46¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-4.5pp
24h Vol
$14.00
Liquidity
$817.09
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Down 5pp over 24h
Now 46¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 20h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 13.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 04Resolution proximity
Expiry in 20h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 20 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 14:15ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 20.3h
- 17:57SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 20h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
-4.5pp over the last 24h, now 46¢.
Biggest hourly move: -7.0pp at 07:00 (to 45¢).
Show top 8 of 12 hourly moves
- 15:00 · -5.5pp → 45¢
- 11:00 · -6.0pp → 46¢
- 10:00 · -7.0pp → 45¢
- 09:00 · -7.0pp → 45¢
- 07:00 · -7.0pp → 45¢
- 06:00 · -6.5pp → 46¢
- 05:00 · -6.5pp → 46¢
- 03:00 · -5.5pp → 45¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang match between Natus Vincere and Dewa United Esports in the MPL Indonesia Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 1 at 4:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Natus Vincere and Dewa United Esports play 3 or more games in this series. If fewer than 3 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
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