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OtherExpires Mar 7, 2026

New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5

Probability

38¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-2.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$281.79

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:46
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 38¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 54.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 14:47Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 14:46Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming MLS game between New England Revolution and Houston Dynamo, scheduled for March 7 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if New England Revolution and Houston Dynamo combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Mar 7, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (54.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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