New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5
Probability
38¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$281.79
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 38¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Wide spread — 54.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 14:47SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 14:46PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 38¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 38¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 42¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 52¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 42¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 42¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming MLS game between New England Revolution and Houston Dynamo, scheduled for March 7 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if New England Revolution and Houston Dynamo combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Mar 7, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.mlssoccer.com/Ambiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (54.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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