Made-Up-Minute
0xa4e20d33e70e776d477fc2fbcfeed29631974c8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-265.64
Win rate
56%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
770 shares @ 86.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$770.00
$107.03
- OVER
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5
1782 shares @ 19.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$730.62
$392.04
- YES
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Robot" or "Robotic" or "Robotics" during NYC rally?
275 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$275.00
$35.75
- NO
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
261 shares @ 77.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$230.99
$30.02
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
92 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$92.00
$10.12
- YES
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
600 shares @ 30.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$69.00
$-111.00
- YES
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
20 shares @ 42.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$20.00
$11.58
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$12.89
$6.45
- NO
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
7 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$7.00
$4.62
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?
2 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$2.00
$0.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$23.12Apr 27, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$40.72Apr 27, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$24.72Apr 27, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$50.40Apr 27, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$71.82Apr 24, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$200.97Apr 23, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$155.91Apr 23, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$381.90Apr 21, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$108.24Apr 21, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?$279.93Apr 13, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$244.28Apr 13, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLSHEIN IPO before 2027?$190.08Apr 13, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?$660.66Apr 13, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$252.16Apr 13, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?$712.14Apr 13, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$93.90Apr 13, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSHEIN IPO before 2027?$176.00Apr 13, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?$388.29Apr 13, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLFreddie Mac IPO before 2027?$93.15Apr 13, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?$83.52Apr 13, 04:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
56% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $222.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 06:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.