SportsExpires May 1, 2026
Creator

Spread: Celtics (-6.5)

Probability

49¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$49.6K

Liquidity

$662.3K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
nba.com
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 29, 2026, 17:00Apr 30, 2026, 19:04
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Volume pressure

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $49.6k traded against $662.3k of visible liquidity (0.07× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5h.

  • 03
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 5h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 5 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 00:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 4.9h

    HIGH
  • 19:04Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 5h.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 49¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventCeltics vs. 76ers
Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 30 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "76ers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "76ers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
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