Julius Randle: Points O/U 4.5
Probability
96¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+8.4pp
24h Vol
$100.25
Liquidity
$1.6K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (4.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Up 8pp over 24h
Now 96¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 4.8¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 04Resolution proximity
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (4.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 19:35SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 04:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 16h ago
Price movement
+8.4pp over the last 24h, now 96¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 30 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Julius Randle scores more than 4.5 points during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Julius Randle scores 4.5 points or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.