SportsExpires Apr 29, 2026

LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5

Probability

57¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+27.5pp

24h Vol

$510.49

Liquidity

$2.3K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
NBA.com
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 06:00Apr 29, 2026, 23:11
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 28pp over 24h

    Now 57¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $2.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 23:11Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 04:00Resolve

    Market resolved 19h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

+27.5pp over the last 24h, now 57¢.

Biggest hourly move: +16.0pp at 23:11 (to 57¢).

Show 4 hourly moves
  • 23:11 · +16.0pp → 57¢
  • 22:00 · +8.5pp → 57¢
  • 20:00 · +7.0pp → 57¢
  • 18:00 · +4.0pp → 55¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 29 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James records more than 7.5 assists during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if LeBron James records 7.5 assists or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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