SportsExpires Apr 30, 2026

Spread: Lakers (-3.5)

Probability

21¢

1h

-40.0pp

24h

-32.5pp

24h Vol

$232.4K

Liquidity

$37.9K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 28, 2026, 18:00Apr 30, 2026, 03:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 33pp over 24h

    Now 21¢; -40.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 6.1× turnover

    $232.4k traded against $37.9k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 32.5pp in 24h with 6.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  • 04
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 05
    Resolution proximity

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 03:56Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 32.5pp in 24h with 6.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 03:56Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 02:00Resolve

    Market resolved 2h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-32.5pp over the last 24h, now 21¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

1
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 29 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Lakers" if the Lakers win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Rockets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Rockets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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