Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
Probability
21¢
1h
-40.0pp
24h
-32.5pp
24h Vol
$232.4K
Liquidity
$37.9K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 01Price move
Down 33pp over 24h
Now 21¢; -40.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Heavy volume on this book — 6.1× turnover
$232.4k traded against $37.9k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 03Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 32.5pp in 24h with 6.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 04Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 05Resolution proximity
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 03:56SignalHIGH
Momentum down
Probability moved down 32.5pp in 24h with 6.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 03:56SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 02:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 2h ago
Price movement
-32.5pp over the last 24h, now 21¢.
Active signals
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Market Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 29 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Lakers" if the Lakers win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Rockets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Rockets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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