SportsExpires May 2, 2026
Creator

Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 11.5

Probability

33¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.4K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
NBA.com
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (44.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 30, 2026, 06:00May 1, 2026, 05:25
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 20h. Spread is extremely wide.

  • 02
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 44.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 20 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 01:30Resolve

    Market resolves in 20.1h

    HIGH
  • 05:26Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 20h. Spread is extremely wide.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 33¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 1 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deandre Ayton scores more than 11.5 points during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Deandre Ayton scores 11.5 points or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.