0xb76ffa3b33357fd315a352d8935f0e74e2f5aa79
0xb76ffa3b33357fd315a352d8935f0e74e2f5aa79
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.5K
Total PnL
$-8.4K
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
1600 shares @ 72.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.6K
$444.01
- YES
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
774 shares @ 49.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$774.40
$388.87
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
413 shares @ 17.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$412.50
$341.55
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
297 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$297.18
$139.67
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?
297 shares @ 49.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$296.94
$149.46
- YES
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?
198 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$198.29
$111.04
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?
180 shares @ 49.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$180.08
$90.86
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
175 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$175.20
$92.86
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
671 shares @ 30.8¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$161.16
$-45.86
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
135 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$134.61
$78.07
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.