SportsExpires Apr 29, 2026

Magic vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline

Probability

27¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

-23.0pp

24h Vol

$262.00

Liquidity

$7.2K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
based on the score at halftime only
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 28, 2026, 18:00Apr 29, 2026, 20:44
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 23pp over 24h

    Now 27¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 2h.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $7.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 2h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 23:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 2.2h

    HIGH
  • 20:45Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 2h.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-23.0pp over the last 24h, now 27¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the first half of the NBA game between Magic and Pistons, scheduled for April 29 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Magic" if the Magic are winning at halftime. This market will resolve to "Pistons" if the Pistons are winning at halftime. If the score is tied at halftime, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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