Wallet profile

Unique-Congressperson

0xbddf61af533ff524d27154e589d2d7a81510c684

activity 55/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

55/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-29.8M

Realised

$31.4K

Win rate

63%

27 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Recent activity

  • REDEEMTampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$25.6KJul 21, 01:54 UTC
  • MAKER_REBATE$45.16Jul 21, 00:45 UTC
  • TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$9.7KJul 20, 23:04 UTC
  • REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.16Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
  • YIELD$22.76Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
  • YIELD$25.13Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
  • REWARD$37.84Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
  • YIELD$24.86Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
  • YIELD$24.25Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
  • YIELD$17.38Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
  • YIELD$23.26Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
  • YIELD$24.98Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
  • TAKER_REBATE$778.34Jul 9, 21:15 UTC
  • YIELD$24.69Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
  • YIELD$23.31Jul 8, 00:10 UTC
  • YIELD$19.54Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
  • YIELD$18.70Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
  • YIELD$18.57Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
  • YIELD$19.19Jul 4, 00:13 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$15.5K

Trades

1

Buy share

49%

Window

Jun 2, 22:20 UTC → Jun 23, 16:45 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $0.00

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

57/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

63% win rate over 27 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

14/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

27 live trades, 2 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.

Resolved-only track record
review

27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Profile dimensions

Activity60 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence90 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry69 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk41 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
27
Avg trade size
$383.07
Top category
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 1, 21:23 UTC
Last active
Jul 21, 01:54 UTC
Win rate sample
27 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

updated 03:12:22 UTC·src:Polymarket Data