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SportsExpires Jun 1, 2026

NBA Playoffs: Raptors vs. Cavaliers Total Games O/U 5.5

Probability

57¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-3.5pp

24h Vol

$118.85

Liquidity

$3.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+4.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:09
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 4pp over 24h

    Now 57¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 873h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 7.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 872.8h

    LOW
  • 15:09Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 873h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 24.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 24.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 23.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 26.5pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 26.5pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 26.5pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 27.0pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 27.0pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 27.0pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 27.0pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 28.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 28.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 34.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 34.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 34.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 34.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 35.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 36.5pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 37.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 27.5pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 32.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 31.5pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 31.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 35.0pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 21.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Over” if more than 5.5 games are played during the 2026 NBA Playoffs First Round series between the Toronto Raptors and Cleveland Cavaliers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. If a partial series is played and not completed by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of games played. If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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