NBA Playoffs: Suns vs. Thunder Total Games O/U 4.5
Probability
35¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$8.75
Liquidity
$3.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 201h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 13.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 201.1h
- 14:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 201h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 35¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 34¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 34¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 33¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 33¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 33¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 33¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 36¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.5pp
to 37¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 32¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 32¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 32¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 45¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Over” if more than 4.5 games are played during the 2026 NBA Playoffs First Round series between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Phoenix Suns. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. If a partial series is played and not completed by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of games played. If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).