All-Peasant-Drug
0xe9076a87c5ed90ef16e6fe6529c943baeca0cff6
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.1M
Total PnL
$215.0K
Realised
$87.9K
Win rate
23%
137 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
676770 shares @ 28.1¢·now 38.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$262.9K
$72.4K
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
211473 shares @ 79.5¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$161.8K
$-6.3K
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
610643 shares @ 13.5¢·now 21.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$131.6K
$48.9K
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
513864 shares @ 16.2¢·now 20.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$106.6K
$23.4K
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
134697 shares @ 59.9¢·now 59.4¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$80.0K
$-705.54
- YES
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
86266 shares @ 59.8¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$51.3K
$-222.31
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
251486 shares @ 14.7¢·now 17.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$43.9K
$6.9K
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
88277 shares @ 42.1¢·now 41.1¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$36.3K
$-909.69
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22395 shares @ 81.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.5K
$145.64
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29372 shares @ 37.1¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.6K
$5.7K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.98Jul 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$20.00Jul 13, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$5.85Jul 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichael Olise: 1+ assists$4.93Jul 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffs$122.11Jul 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.93Jul 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic$9.66Jul 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 13?$10.45Jul 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?$1.99Jul 13, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$366.84Jul 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$272.54Jul 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.70Jul 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$9.63Jul 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?$7.45Jul 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$29.01Jul 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$19.50Jul 13, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$4.82Jul 13, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$197.63Jul 13, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$4.88Jul 13, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$9.78Jul 13, 08:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$1.8M
Trades
41
Buy share
68%
Window
May 9, 16:11 UTC → Jul 13, 07:21 UTC
- SELLLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner$10.0K@100¢Jul 12, 08:12 UTC
- BUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$5.7K@95¢Jul 11, 23:42 UTC
- SELLSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$14.7K@100¢Jul 10, 21:01 UTC
- SELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$6.1K@100¢Jul 7, 18:14 UTC
- BUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$9.8K@91¢Jul 7, 17:57 UTC
- BUYSpread: Argentina (-1.5)$5.8K@48¢Jul 7, 10:18 UTC
- BUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.7K@18¢Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- BUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.7K@16¢Jul 6, 21:44 UTC
- BUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$9.7K@90¢Jul 6, 20:54 UTC
- SELLPortugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$10.8K@100¢Jul 6, 20:45 UTC
- SELLExact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?$8.1K@100¢Jul 6, 03:04 UTC
- BUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$8.1K@95¢Jul 5, 14:13 UTC
- BUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$7.4K@30¢Jul 5, 09:43 UTC
- SELLLoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$6.6K@100¢Jul 5, 06:48 UTC
- SELLWill France win on 2026-07-04?$7.1K@94¢Jul 4, 22:57 UTC
- BUYParaguay vs. France: Team to Advance$6.5K@93¢Jul 4, 19:32 UTC
- BUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$8.3K@94¢Jul 3, 04:17 UTC
- BUYMinnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros$5.1K@87¢Jul 2, 02:32 UTC
- BUYMexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance$9.7K@30¢Jul 1, 02:13 UTC
- BUYSpread: France (-1.5)$14.6K@51¢Jun 30, 21:10 UTC
- BUYFrance vs. Sweden: Team to Advance$9.7K@90¢Jun 30, 19:35 UTC
- BUYCôte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5$9.7K@77¢Jun 30, 16:47 UTC
- SELLWill Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$36.7K@100¢Jun 29, 22:34 UTC
- BUYFrance vs. Sweden: Team to Advance$51.4K@90¢Jun 29, 03:34 UTC
- BUYGermany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance$9.7K@87¢Jun 29, 01:45 UTC
- BUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$5.8K@48¢Jun 27, 06:15 UTC
- BUYSpread: Belgium (-2.5)$5.8K@45¢Jun 27, 00:35 UTC
- SELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$16.2K@95¢Jun 25, 02:22 UTC
- BUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$9.7K@96¢Jun 25, 02:22 UTC
- BUYSwitzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score$18.3K@55¢Jun 24, 13:36 UTC
- SELLWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$46.6K@81¢Jun 22, 18:04 UTC
- BUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$9.7K@67¢Jun 21, 19:28 UTC
- BUYWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$9.7K@91¢Jun 21, 01:53 UTC
- BUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$6.7K@59¢Jun 19, 14:33 UTC
- BUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$5.8K@54¢Jun 18, 20:05 UTC
- BUYWill Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?$6.8K@59¢Jun 15, 00:35 UTC
- BUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$12.6K@94¢Jun 14, 08:41 UTC
- BUYColorado Rockies vs. Athletics$14.1K@55¢Jun 14, 03:34 UTC
- SELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$11.8K@100¢Jun 12, 21:04 UTC
- BUYSpurs vs. Knicks$29.1K@95¢Jun 11, 02:24 UTC
- SELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$7.1K@20¢Jun 6, 10:08 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
23% win rate over 137 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 157 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
137 closed markets, 23% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$94.0K
10 trades
30d volume
$460.5K
38 trades
Buy share
68%
Sample
established
157 ledger trades
Top market concentration
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
$79.5K · 4% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $41.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 08:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 137 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.