All-Peasant-Drug
0xe9076a87c5ed90ef16e6fe6529c943baeca0cff6
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$419.5K
Total PnL
$-23.7K
Realised
$-1.0K
Win rate
29%
116 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
405420 shares @ 75.4¢·now 74.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$301.0K
$-4.6K
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
13009 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.8K
$1.4K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
19762 shares @ 39.6¢·now 59.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$11.6K
$3.8K
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
18523 shares @ 38.7¢·now 42.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$7.8K
$638.35
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
25097 shares @ 38.5¢·now 26.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$6.6K
$-3.0K
- YES
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-23?
5607 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$5.6K
$2.0K
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
12942 shares @ 39.5¢·now 40.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.3K
$190.95
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
5739 shares @ 74.2¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.0K
$735.69
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
4657 shares @ 67.1¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.0K
$858.36
- YES
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
21014 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$3.9K
$-109.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: PFK CSKA Moskva 1 - 0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad?$9.93Jul 24, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKasnikowski vs. Barton: Match O/U 22.5$3.04Jul 24, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: PFK CSKA Moskva 2 - 1 FK Baltika Kaliningrad?$9.95Jul 24, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 24?$6.45Jul 24, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$3.84Jul 24, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$101.27Jul 24, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$9.93Jul 24, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: EDward Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders$3.83Jul 24, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2026-07-24?$63.48Jul 24, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.73Jul 24, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Botafogo FR 1 - 0 EC Vitória?$0.00Jul 24, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: SC Corinthians Paulista 3 - 2 Clube do Remo?$0.00Jul 24, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$49.25Jul 24, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Seoul E-Land FC 2 - 0 Cheonan City FC?$9.94Jul 24, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)$0.00Jul 24, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Seoul E-Land FC 1 - 0 Cheonan City FC?$9.94Jul 24, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: SC Corinthians Paulista 2 - 0 Clube do Remo?$0.00Jul 24, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Seoul E-Land FC 2 - 1 Cheonan City FC?$9.94Jul 24, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$4.91Jul 24, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.16Jul 24, 03:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$2.0M
Trades
46
Buy share
70%
Window
May 9, 16:11 UTC → Jul 15, 21:45 UTC
- BUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.0K@58¢Jul 15, 01:28 UTC
- BUYLincoln: Evan Zhu vs Yunchaokete Bu$9.5K@33¢Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- BUYWill Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$8.8K@78¢Jul 14, 19:48 UTC
- BUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$6.4K@58¢Jul 14, 16:28 UTC
- BUYLincoln: Jack Kennedy vs Anton Shepp$9.5K@40¢Jul 13, 23:44 UTC
- BUYLincoln: Jack Kennedy vs Anton Shepp$19.0K@40¢Jul 13, 23:44 UTC
- BUYPozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Mert Alkaya$14.3K@44¢Jul 13, 22:14 UTC
- BUYPozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Mert Alkaya$6.1K@42¢Jul 13, 22:05 UTC
- SELLLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner$10.0K@100¢Jul 12, 08:12 UTC
- BUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$5.7K@95¢Jul 11, 23:42 UTC
- SELLSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$14.7K@100¢Jul 10, 21:01 UTC
- SELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$6.1K@100¢Jul 7, 18:14 UTC
- BUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$9.8K@91¢Jul 7, 17:57 UTC
- BUYSpread: Argentina (-1.5)$5.8K@48¢Jul 7, 10:18 UTC
- BUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.7K@16¢Jul 6, 21:44 UTC
- BUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$9.7K@90¢Jul 6, 20:54 UTC
- SELLPortugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$10.8K@100¢Jul 6, 20:45 UTC
- SELLExact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?$8.1K@100¢Jul 6, 03:04 UTC
- BUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$8.1K@95¢Jul 5, 14:13 UTC
- BUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$7.4K@30¢Jul 5, 09:43 UTC
- SELLLoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$6.6K@100¢Jul 5, 06:48 UTC
- SELLWill France win on 2026-07-04?$7.1K@94¢Jul 4, 22:57 UTC
- BUYParaguay vs. France: Team to Advance$6.5K@93¢Jul 4, 19:32 UTC
- BUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$8.3K@94¢Jul 3, 04:17 UTC
- BUYMinnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros$5.1K@87¢Jul 2, 02:32 UTC
- BUYMexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance$9.7K@30¢Jul 1, 02:13 UTC
- BUYSpread: France (-1.5)$14.6K@51¢Jun 30, 21:10 UTC
- BUYFrance vs. Sweden: Team to Advance$9.7K@90¢Jun 30, 19:35 UTC
- BUYCôte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5$9.7K@77¢Jun 30, 16:47 UTC
- SELLWill Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$36.7K@100¢Jun 29, 22:34 UTC
- BUYFrance vs. Sweden: Team to Advance$51.4K@90¢Jun 29, 03:34 UTC
- BUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$5.8K@48¢Jun 27, 06:15 UTC
- BUYSpread: Belgium (-2.5)$5.8K@45¢Jun 27, 00:35 UTC
- SELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$16.2K@95¢Jun 25, 02:22 UTC
- BUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$9.7K@96¢Jun 25, 02:22 UTC
- SELLWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$46.6K@81¢Jun 22, 18:04 UTC
- BUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$9.7K@67¢Jun 21, 19:28 UTC
- BUYWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$9.7K@91¢Jun 21, 01:53 UTC
- BUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$6.7K@59¢Jun 19, 14:33 UTC
- BUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$5.8K@54¢Jun 18, 20:05 UTC
- BUYWill Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?$6.8K@59¢Jun 15, 00:35 UTC
- BUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$12.6K@94¢Jun 14, 08:41 UTC
- BUYColorado Rockies vs. Athletics$14.1K@55¢Jun 14, 03:34 UTC
- SELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$11.8K@100¢Jun 12, 21:04 UTC
- BUYSpurs vs. Knicks$29.1K@95¢Jun 11, 02:24 UTC
- SELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$7.1K@20¢Jun 6, 10:08 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 116 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 174 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
116 closed markets, 29% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$388.5K
35 trades
Buy share
70%
Sample
established
174 ledger trades
Top market concentration
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
$79.5K · 4% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $20.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 03:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 03:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 116 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.