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SportsExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $140 end of April?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.3pp

24h Vol

$47.97

Liquidity

$4.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

-6.2pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:39
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  1. 1

    Thin liquidity

    Only $4.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 124.3h

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -6.4pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -6.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -6.1pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -6.2pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -5.9pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -6.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -6.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -6.1pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -5.9pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -6.2pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -6.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -5.8pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.7pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.9pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.8pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.7pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.2pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 8¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.1pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).