Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
Probability
81¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
-0.7pp
24h Vol
$20.83
Liquidity
$330.64
Probability (last 7 days)
+10.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1564h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 13.8¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1564.3h
- 19:44SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 1564h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.9pp over the last 24h, now 80¢.
Biggest hourly move: +11.1pp at 2d ago (to 81¢).
Show all 17 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · +3.1pp → 81¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 79¢
- 2d ago · +4.2pp → 80¢
- 2d ago · +6.4pp → 81¢
- 2d ago · +4.4pp → 79¢
- 2d ago · +10.8pp → 80¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 80¢
- 2d ago · +9.8pp → 80¢
- 2d ago · +9.8pp → 79¢
- 2d ago · +9.9pp → 80¢
- 2d ago · +9.8pp → 80¢
- 2d ago · +9.9pp → 81¢
- 2d ago · +10.4pp → 80¢
- 2d ago · +9.6pp → 79¢
- 2d ago · +11.1pp → 81¢
- 3d ago · +10.7pp → 80¢
- 3d ago · +8.9pp → 80¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 James Norris Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusnhl.com
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (13.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.