Deficient-Bow
0xd2a4aa24f136f4217d640c0b862a6ed1766c3ee9
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$19.9K
Total PnL
$929.29
Realised
$4.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
4300 shares @ 84.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$4.3K
$609.43
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
3800 shares @ 85.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.1K
$-120.49
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
3000 shares @ 81.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$3.0K
$567.02
- YES
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
2887 shares @ 73.1¢·now 56.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$1.6K
$-479.42
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
1500 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.5K
$390.40
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1100 shares @ 68.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.1K
$344.00
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1428 shares @ 63.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$863.86
$-36.02
- YES
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
629 shares @ 85.5¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$586.54
$48.88
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?
558 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$547.43
$23.16
- YES
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
500 shares @ 90.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$499.99
$47.36
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.33Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.39Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.39May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.40May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.40May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.39May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.39May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.40May 26, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $29.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 08:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.