Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)

1. 1

   Up 1pp over 24h

   Now 38¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 31h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $8.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

4. 4

   Expiry in 31h

   Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

In the NHL game, scheduled for April 26 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Avalanche" if the Avalanche win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.