SportsExpires Apr 27, 2026

Flyers vs. Penguins

Probability

45¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$8.5K

Liquidity

$511.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 16:00Apr 27, 2026, 09:16
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $8.5k traded against $511.5k of visible liquidity (0.02× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 14h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Expiry in 14h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 14 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 23:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 13.7h

    HIGH
  • 09:16Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 14h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 45¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 27 at 7:00PM ET: If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers". If the Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Penguins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 27, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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