Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-2.5)
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-3.0pp
24h Vol
$19.84
Liquidity
$4.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-30.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 2¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $4.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 1h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 14:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.5h
- 12:32SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 2¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 2¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 2¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.8pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.3pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.6pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.3pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.4pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.2pp
to 5¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game, scheduled for April 25 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Fredrikstad FK" if Fredrikstad FK win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Viking FK". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on eliteserien.no. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.eliteserien.no/News consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).