Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of April?
Probability
97¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.6pp
24h Vol
$1.2K
Liquidity
$6.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+10.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 133.3h
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 97¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 97¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 97¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 97¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 97¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.4pp
to 97¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 97¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 97¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 97¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 95¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 93¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 87¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 96¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.4pp
to 96¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 97¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 97¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.9pp
to 96¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 95¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 96¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 96¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 96¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 91¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 91¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 94¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 94¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 94¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 95¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 95¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 95¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).