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BusinessExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of April?

Probability

74¢

1h

-4.0pp

24h

+31.5pp

24h Vol

$59.27

Liquidity

$3.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+20.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 03:17
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 136.7h

    LOW
  • 03:18Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 137h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 26.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 27.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 28.5pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 28.0pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 28.0pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 28.0pp

    to 76¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 32.5pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 31.0pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -14.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (31.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).