Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of April?
Probability
74¢
1h
-4.0pp
24h
+31.5pp
24h Vol
$59.27
Liquidity
$3.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+20.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 136.7h
- 03:18SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 137h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 78¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.0pp
to 74¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 77¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 77¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 77¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 76¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.5pp
to 81¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.0pp
to 80¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 65¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 44¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 44¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 43¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 41¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 42¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 42¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 59¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 60¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 48¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (31.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).