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BusinessExpires May 27, 2026

Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?

Probability

26¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$29.09

Probability (last 7 days)

-27.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:38
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 751h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 33.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 751.4h

    LOW
  • 16:38Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 751h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 16:38Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nvidia’s data center revenue for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Nvidia’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 27, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (33.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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