Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $1.00 end of April?
Probability
98¢
1h
-0.4pp
24h
-0.8pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$600.94
Probability (last 7 days)
+8.6pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $601 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 123.1h
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.2pp
to 99¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.9pp
to 99¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 99¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.1pp
to 99¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.1pp
to 99¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 97¢+6.5pp
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $2.00 end of April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 89¢-0.1pp
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $3.00 end of April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 95¢+3.4pp
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $4.00 end of April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 66¢-12.0pp
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $5.00 end of April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 30¢+9.0pp
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $6.00 end of April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 4¢-6.6pp
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $9.00 end of April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 11¢+0.4pp
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $10 end of April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 11¢+0.3pp
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $11 end of April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 79¢+1.0pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.6M
- 0¢-38.5pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $878.9K
- 65¢0.0pp
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
Other · Vol $484.6K
- 0¢-1.8pp
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Other · Vol $471.8K
- 100¢+49.5pp
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $471.0K
- 100¢+59.5pp
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $419.5K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo FinanceAmbiguous wordingfinance.yahoo.com
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.