Scrawny-Perch
0x96f91943667762bbce634653e01e1a4745611d08
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$48.0K
Total PnL
$2.4K
Realised
$657.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
30089 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.0K
$1.41
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
17947 shares @ 90.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$17.9K
$1.7K
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1675 shares @ 90.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$28.20
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
308 shares @ 67.1¢·now 79.8¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$245.86
$39.10
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$93.50
$0.50
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
204 shares @ 36.4¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$70.37
$-3.85
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 78.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$40.25
$1.25
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$10.38
$0.38
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
5 shares @ 57.9¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.66
$-0.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.24May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$39.43May 15, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$7.59May 15, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$21.45May 15, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$2.95May 15, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$44.12May 15, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$93.33May 15, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$73.32May 15, 16:46 UTC
- YIELD$3.23May 15, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$29.4KMay 14, 09:17 UTC
- YIELD$3.22May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.24May 13, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$52.40May 13, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$110.43May 13, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$14.79May 13, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$26.85May 13, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$12.65May 13, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$9.65May 13, 08:47 UTC
- YIELD$3.22May 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$6.2KMay 12, 09:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".