Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?
Probability
2¢
1h
+1.7pp
24h
-40.8pp
24h Vol
$12.0K
Liquidity
$2.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 41pp over 24h
Now 2¢; +1.7pp in the last hour.
- 2
Heavy volume on this book — 4.8× turnover
$12.0k traded against $2.5k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 879h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4
Thin liquidity
Only $2.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 878.7h
- 13:16SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 879h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:16PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -87.3pp
to 2¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -87.0pp
to 3¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -74.5pp
to 10¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -56.5pp
to 24¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -40.0pp
to 31¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -51.5pp
to 17¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.0pp
to 36¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -32.0pp
to 37¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.0pp
to 40¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.0pp
to 40¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 39¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 42¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 46¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 46¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 44¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 38¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 61¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 100¢+1.7pp
Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?
Other · Vol $13.8K
- 3¢-9.5pp
Over $2M committed to the Pharos public sale?
Other · Vol $1.2K
- 2¢-4.0pp
Over $3M committed to the Pharos public sale?
Other · Vol $786.54
- 1¢-3.9pp
Over $4M committed to the Pharos public sale?
Other · Vol $1.1K
- 1¢-2.3pp
Over $6M committed to the Pharos public sale?
Other · Vol $1.0K
- 5¢-8.8pp
Over $8M committed to the Pharos public sale?
Other · Vol $325.15
- 0¢-2.9pp
Over $10M committed to the Pharos public sale?
Other · Vol $803.42
- 0¢-1.4pp
Over $15M committed to the Pharos public sale?
Other · Vol $1.0K
- 1¢-2.5pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $721.2K
- 4¢-36.0pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $686.0K
- 86¢0.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $559.8K
- 61¢+25.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $553.6K
Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the Pharos raise on Sonar exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official Pharos raise page available at: https://port.pharos.xyz/sale If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.” If the sale is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jun 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).