Palantir total customers above 1040 in Q1?
Probability
23¢
1h
-3.0pp
24h
-9.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$55.18
Probability (last 7 days)
-16.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 10pp over 24h
Now 23¢; -3.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 200h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 34.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 200.3h
- 15:41SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 200h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 26¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 27¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 26¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.0pp
to 12¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 27¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.0pp
to 12¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.0pp
to 12¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 28¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 23¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 27¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 28¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 27¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 29¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 29¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 30¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Palantir’s total customer count (typically labeled "customer count") for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Palantir’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (34.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).