Loading shell…
OtherExpires May 4, 2026

Palantir total customers above 1040 in Q1?

Probability

23¢

1h

-3.0pp

24h

-9.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$55.18

Probability (last 7 days)

-16.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:41
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 10pp over 24h

    Now 23¢; -3.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 200h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 34.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 200.3h

    LOW
  • 15:41Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 200h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -28.0pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -27.0pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -28.0pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -17.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -19.0pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -21.0pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -18.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Palantir’s total customer count (typically labeled "customer count") for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Palantir’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 4, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (34.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).