Paramount+ subscribers above 78M in Q1?
Probability
81¢
1h
-1.2pp
24h
-6.8pp
24h Vol
$26.22
Liquidity
$18.58
Probability (last 7 days)
-3.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 207.4h
- 08:36SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 207h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 82¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 81¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.6pp
to 88¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.2pp
to 88¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.1pp
to 88¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.2pp
to 88¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.8pp
to 88¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.1pp
to 88¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 85¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 85¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 85¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 85¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 84¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 83¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 82¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 82¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 84¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 84¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 84¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 84¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 84¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Paramount’s number of Paramount+ Subscribers for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Paramount’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (27.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).