PBC Fight Night: David Benavidez vs. Gilberto ‘Zurdo’ Ramirez
Probability
79¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+13.0pp
24h Vol
$2.5K
Liquidity
$2.1K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 13pp over 24h
Now 79¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 13h.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $2.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 13 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 13.3h
- 10:43SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 13h.
Price movement
+13.0pp over the last 24h, now 79¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Benavidez" if David Benavidez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gilberto ‘Zurdo’ Ramirez, scheduled for May 2, 2026 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. It will resolve to "Zurdo" if Gilberto Ramirez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Premier Boxing Champions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.