Our-Dough
0x38e59b36aae31b164200d0cad7c3fe5e0ee795e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$123.6K
Total PnL
$-168.2K
Realised
$63.4K
Win rate
68%
110 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
19878 shares @ 48.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$17.4K
$7.8K
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
65259 shares @ 15.1¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.9K
$1.1K
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
15081 shares @ 50.4¢·now 65.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.8K
$2.2K
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
14095 shares @ 52.6¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.0K
$543.50
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
45440 shares @ 17.7¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.0K
$-95.70
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
8027 shares @ 71.6¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$7.9K
$2.1K
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
45234 shares @ 12.9¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.3K
$1.4K
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
11800 shares @ 30.3¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.1K
$494.94
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
21797 shares @ 20.4¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.8K
$-624.38
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
11000 shares @ 30.9¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.7K
$284.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.18Jun 13, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.29Jun 13, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.12Jun 13, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.12Jun 13, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.12Jun 13, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.12Jun 13, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.12Jun 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Z release an album in 2026?$4.16Jun 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$71.82Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$71.82Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$3.80Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$2.11Jun 13, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$71.82Jun 13, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$3.80Jun 13, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$71.82Jun 13, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$71.82Jun 13, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$69.80Jun 13, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$69.80Jun 13, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$69.80Jun 13, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$69.80Jun 13, 10:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $40.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 08:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 110 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.