Pharos FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Probability
8¢
1h
-3.8pp
24h
+1.6pp
24h Vol
$601.65
Liquidity
$10.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+5.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14784.5h
- 04:30SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14784h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 10¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.7pp
to 11¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 11¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.1pp
to 12¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 11¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 12¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.4pp
to 19¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.4pp
to 19¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.2pp
to 20¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.1pp
to 20¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.6pp
to 20¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.4pp
to 20¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.9pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.8pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 6¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 98¢-1.5pp
Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $4.3K
- 96¢+1.9pp
Pharos FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 95¢+4.0pp
Pharos FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $139.57
- 89¢-1.5pp
Pharos FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $918.07
- 83¢+8.0pp
Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $3.6K
- 66¢+4.0pp
Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $3.3K
- 54¢+5.8pp
Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $3.0K
- 11¢-2.7pp
Pharos FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $3.4K
- 23¢-32.0pp
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Other · Vol $6.7M
- 2¢-1.6pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.1M
- 13¢-42.0pp
Oilers vs. Ducks
Other · Vol $767.6K
- 0¢-50.4pp
Golden Knights vs. Utah
Other · Vol $753.5K
- 11¢-38.5pp
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)
Other · Vol $698.9K
- 0¢-54.4pp
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds
Other · Vol $528.3K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pharos's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Pharos will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pharos (https://x.com/pharos_network) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).