Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 1569h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $10.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.