Ample-Instance
0x9d84ce0306f8551e02efef1680475fc0f1dc1344
Quality score
83/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$428.1K
Total PnL
$-871.5K
Realised
$217.8K
Win rate
69%
120 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
113525 shares @ 4.9¢·now 56.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.2K
$58.7K
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
50000 shares @ 96.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$49.8K
$1.8K
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
44253 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.8K
$1.5K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
52279 shares @ 47.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.8K
$10.7K
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
70811 shares @ 10.9¢·now 40.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.7K
$21.0K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
124033 shares @ 36.9¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.4K
$-20.4K
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
48032 shares @ 84.2¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$19.9K
$-20.5K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
95822 shares @ 18.2¢·now 18.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.1K
$707.55
- NO
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
32940 shares @ 41.9¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.5K
$3.7K
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
15394 shares @ 39.3¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.2K
$7.1K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?$514.6456m ago
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?$19.0058m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?$40.183h ago
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?$15.833h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?$20.023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?$0.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?$0.014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?$0.014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?$0.014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?$0.014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?$0.646h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?$207.069h ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?$0.359h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?$1.9514h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?$1.2615h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?$4.7317h ago
- YIELD$6.0521h ago
- REWARD$2.4922h ago
- REWARD$27.5022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?$0.2422h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $17.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 22h ago
- Last active
- 56m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.