Ample-Instance
0x9d84ce0306f8551e02efef1680475fc0f1dc1344
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$571.7K
Total PnL
$-820.3K
Realised
$255.7K
Win rate
73%
117 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
225642 shares @ 67.2¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$186.2K
$34.5K
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
92425 shares @ 4.9¢·now 74.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$69.0K
$64.4K
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
44253 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$43.7K
$3.4K
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
51034 shares @ 11.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.2K
$33.6K
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
146312 shares @ 20.8¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.6K
$-4.8K
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
114787 shares @ 20.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.1K
$-3.4K
- NO
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
32762 shares @ 41.9¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.2K
$2.5K
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
296646 shares @ 3.8¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.6K
$4.2K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
124033 shares @ 36.9¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.5K
$-30.3K
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
15394 shares @ 39.3¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.6K
$8.5K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$5.0KJun 13, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$5.0KJun 13, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$3.9KJun 13, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$3.5KJun 13, 00:36 UTC
- REWARD$0.74Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$8.50Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$207.17Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$2.8KJun 12, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$93.51Jun 12, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$20.0KJun 12, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.43Jun 12, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.66Jun 12, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.43Jun 12, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$66.96Jun 12, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$170.00Jun 12, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.24Jun 12, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.97Jun 12, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$40.40Jun 12, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$8.50Jun 12, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$28.33Jun 12, 10:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$6.8K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 18, 07:10 UTC → May 18, 07:06 UTC
- BUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$6.8K@74¢May 18, 07:06 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$6.8K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
$6.8K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $209.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 08:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 117 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.