Pump.fun revenue above $25M in April?
Probability
70¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+38.0pp
24h Vol
$427.04
Liquidity
$990.25
Probability (last 7 days)
+13.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 38pp over 24h
Now 70¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 131h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 23.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 130.8h
- 17:12SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 131h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.0pp
to 70¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.5pp
to 69¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.0pp
to 69¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.5pp
to 69¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 47.5pp
to 81¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 61¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 61¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.5pp
to 60¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 60¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.5pp
to 61¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.0pp
to 60¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.0pp
to 59¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 54¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 55¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 34¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.5pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 34¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pump.fun’s revenue exceeds the amount specified in the title during the month specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the “Revenue” chart set to “Monthly”: https://defillama.com/protocol/pump.fun?groupBy=monthly A monthly bar will be considered finalized once the next month’s bar is published. If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used. If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- defillama.comSource not classifiedextracted · lowdefillama.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (23.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.