Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$36.96
Liquidity
$7.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+9.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 10:00SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 50¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 50¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 50¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 50¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 50¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 50¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 51¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 57¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 57¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 57¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 57¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 57¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 57¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 58¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the match against Henry Cejudo at The Liacouras Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Cejudo" if Henry Cejudo is officially declared the winner. This market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by RAF, including any tiebreaker mechanisms employed. If no official winner is designated, a tie is declared the final result, or the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RAF (https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 19, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).