Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)
Probability
8¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$11.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 14h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $11.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 3
Expiry in 14h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 14 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 10:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 13.9h
- 20:38SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 14h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 8¢.
Biggest hourly move: -21.0pp at 2d ago (to 9¢).
Show all 4 hour-by-hour ticks
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -21.0pp → 9¢
- 3d ago · -4.5pp → 9¢
- 3d ago · -3.0pp → 9¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 26¢-0.5pp
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)
Other · Vol $171.07
- 11¢-1.0pp
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 3¢-0.5pp
Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 77¢-0.5pp
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5
Other · Vol $145.45
- 53¢+0.5pp
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $395.13
- 31¢+0.5pp
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5
Other · Vol $50.00
- 14¢-0.5pp
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5
Other · Vol $171.72
- 56¢+0.5pp
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score
Other · Vol $198.57
- 78¢+29.0pp
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.4M
- 100¢+22.4pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 3¢-23.1pp
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $480.9K
- 100¢+48.4pp
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $362.2K
- 1¢-0.3pp
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $357.4K
- 100¢+54.4pp
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $301.1K
Market Description
In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for April 26 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "US Sassuolo Calcio" if US Sassuolo Calcio win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "ACF Fiorentina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on legaseriea.it. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.