Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$107.42
Liquidity
$551.39
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 11, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (8.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 8.8¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 11, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (8.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 128.5h
- 10:17SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
Price movement
-0.1pp over the last 24h, now 5¢.
Biggest hourly move: -37.0pp at 2d ago (to 5¢).
Show top 8 of 14 hourly moves
- 10:16 · -3.1pp → 5¢
- 06:00 · -5.5pp → 2¢
- 05:00 · -5.0pp → 2¢
- 22:00 · -3.1pp → 5¢
- 1d ago · -32.0pp → 5¢
- 2d ago · +3.9pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -37.0pp → 5¢
- 4d ago · +28.0pp → 38¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for May 11 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bologna FC 1909" if Bologna FC 1909 win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "SSC Napoli". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on legaseriea.it. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.