Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 25?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.9pp
24h
-5.7pp
24h Vol
$759.63
Liquidity
$12.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 6pp over 24h
Now 2¢; +0.9pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $12.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 3h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 3.1h
- 12:55SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 1¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.1pp
to 0¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.1pp
to 1¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.1pp
to 0¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.9pp
to 0¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.7pp
to 0¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.3pp
to 2¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -39.5pp
to 2¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.5pp
to 2¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.0pp
to 2¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.5pp
to 6¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.7pp
to 5¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.2pp
to 4¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.6pp
to 3¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 4¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.7pp
to 4¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.6pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.4pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.6pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.9pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.5pp
to 8¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).