Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?
Probability
77¢
1h
-1.5pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$5.00
Liquidity
$154.06
Probability (last 7 days)
+11.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 2
Wide spread — 32.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 21:04SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 77¢.
Biggest hourly move: +55.0pp at 2d ago (to 87¢).
Show all 31 hour-by-hour ticks
- 21:00 · -11.0pp → 77¢
- 20:00 · -9.5pp → 79¢
- 19:00 · -10.5pp → 79¢
- 17:00 · -8.5pp → 79¢
- 15:00 · -8.5pp → 79¢
- 14:00 · -8.5pp → 79¢
- 12:00 · -8.5pp → 79¢
- 11:00 · -8.5pp → 79¢
- 09:00 · -10.5pp → 78¢
- 08:00 · -10.5pp → 78¢
- 06:00 · -11.0pp → 77¢
- 05:00 · -10.0pp → 78¢
- 03:00 · -4.0pp → 77¢
- 02:00 · -4.0pp → 77¢
- 00:00 · -4.0pp → 77¢
- 23:00 · -4.0pp → 77¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 77¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 87¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 87¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 87¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 87¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 87¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 87¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 87¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 87¢
- 2d ago · +6.5pp → 88¢
- 2d ago · +6.5pp → 88¢
- 2d ago · +55.0pp → 87¢
- 2d ago · +21.0pp → 87¢
- 2d ago · +21.0pp → 87¢
- 2d ago · +21.0pp → 87¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
8- 100¢+22.4pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 1¢-0.1pp
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $368.9K
- 100¢+54.4pp
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $320.9K
- 4¢0.0pp
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Other · Vol $289.4K
- 84¢-3.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $247.5K
- 0¢-2.7pp
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $240.2K
Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 11, 2026 If Al Hilal Saudi Club wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 11, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (32.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.