StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Probability
39¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-3.0pp
24h Vol
$334.26
Liquidity
$14.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+13.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 39¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $14.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5972.0h
Price movement
-3.0pp over the last 24h, now 39¢.
Biggest hourly move: +19.0pp at 4d ago (to 45¢).
Show top 8 of 40 hourly moves
- 3d ago · +17.0pp → 43¢
- 3d ago · +17.0pp → 43¢
- 3d ago · +17.0pp → 43¢
- 3d ago · +16.0pp → 42¢
- 3d ago · +16.0pp → 42¢
- 3d ago · +16.0pp → 42¢
- 4d ago · +17.0pp → 43¢
- 4d ago · +19.0pp → 45¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.