Spread: Recoleta FC (-1.5)
Probability
0¢
1h
-2.4pp
24h
-3.1pp
24h Vol
$324.70
Liquidity
$112.6K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 6, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
-27.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 0¢; -2.4pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 3.1pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 6, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 03:22SignalMEDIUM
Momentum down
Probability moved down 3.1pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 03:22SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 00:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 3h ago
Price movement
-3.1pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Biggest hourly move: -22.5pp at 2d ago (to 8¢).
Show top 8 of 51 hourly moves
- 2d ago · -22.5pp → 8¢
- 4d ago · -17.0pp → 11¢
- 4d ago · -17.0pp → 11¢
- 4d ago · -17.0pp → 11¢
- 4d ago · -17.0pp → 11¢
- 4d ago · -17.0pp → 11¢
- 4d ago · -17.5pp → 10¢
- 4d ago · -18.0pp → 10¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
6- 0¢0.0
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Other · Vol $222.1K
- 3¢+0.7
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Other · Vol $189.6K
- 100¢+34.4
Santos: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Jose Pereira
Other · Vol $157.6K
- 18¢0.0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Other · Vol $145.8K
- 100¢0.0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Other · Vol $141.6K
- 0¢-54.4
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-05?
Other · Vol $129.9K
Market Description
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for May 5 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Recoleta FC" if Recoleta FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Santos FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on conmebol.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
